Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.661435 0.822014 0.993442 1.188241 1.401763 1.627183 1.881706
2025-02-23 0.425714 0.641859 0.893806 1.200285 1.555390 1.947503 2.407322
2025-03-02 0.275271 0.500519 0.784509 1.149008 1.588470 2.088448 2.688838
2025-03-09 0.166089 0.382471 0.681120 1.086054 1.592920 2.185117 2.910764
2025-03-16 0.101086 0.305022 0.613976 1.054293 1.623139 2.302044 3.147021
2025-03-23 0.068502 0.267677 0.594501 1.078411 1.717954 2.492560 3.466835
2025-03-30 0.041042 0.227223 0.563168 1.081263 1.781903 2.642826 3.736620
2025-04-06 0.019157 0.183185 0.518210 1.059556 1.810040 2.746194 3.947863
2025-04-13 0.011892 0.171965 0.524955 1.110177 1.932136 2.965373 4.298542
2025-04-20 0.006730 0.161916 0.531750 1.159730 2.052163 3.181662 4.645659
2025-04-27 0.003636 0.155682 0.544143 1.216946 2.182171 3.410430 5.008129
2025-05-04 0.002797 0.161579 0.579517 1.309227 2.360058 3.700121 5.445704
2025-05-11 0.000861 0.153446 0.589545 1.367163 2.497901 3.947747 5.843061
2025-05-18 NaN 0.133785 0.574036 1.385040 2.581560 4.128110 6.160338
2025-05-25 NaN 0.097476 0.514629 1.328329 2.558149 4.168536 6.302223
2025-06-01 NaN 0.065270 0.452390 1.260592 2.515002 4.180489 6.406336
2025-06-08 NaN 0.045667 0.412814 1.226087 2.515807 4.246865 6.575800
2025-06-15 NaN 0.038982 0.408536 1.252245 2.604247 4.428268 6.889957
2025-06-22 NaN 0.029899 0.392243 1.255326 2.657929 4.563192 7.145118
2025-06-29 NaN 0.019315 0.362888 1.231812 2.670634 4.642643 7.329270
2025-07-06 NaN 0.018580 0.375088 1.286626 2.800981 4.879719 7.714339
2025-07-13 NaN 0.017773 0.386635 1.340198 2.929567 5.114622 8.096910
2025-07-20 NaN 0.017807 0.402370 1.401957 3.070717 5.366640 8.501630